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Title: IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FOOD SECURITY AND HEALTH OUTCOMES IN WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES: A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS
Authors: Shingirirai Mashura
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Shingirirai Mashura Faculty of Business and Sustainable Development, University of Seychelles
MLA 8 Mashura, Shingirirai. "IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FOOD SECURITY AND HEALTH OUTCOMES IN WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES: A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS." Int. j. of Social Science and Economic Research, vol. 6, no. 2, Feb. 2021, pp. 628-643, doi:10.46609/IJSSER.2021.v06i02.015. Accessed Feb. 2021. APA 6 Mashura, S. (2021, February). IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FOOD SECURITY AND HEALTH OUTCOMES IN WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES: A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS. Int. j. of Social Science and Economic Research, 6(2), 628-643. doi:10.46609/IJSSER.2021.v06i02.015 Chicago Mashura, Shingirirai. "IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON FOOD SECURITY AND HEALTH OUTCOMES IN WEST AFRICAN COUNTRIES: A COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS." Int. j. of Social Science and Economic Research 6, no. 2 (February 2021), 628-643. Accessed February, 2021. doi:10.46609/IJSSER.2021.v06i02.015.
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Abstract: The study aims to investigate the impact of climate variables (carbon emissions, rainfall and temperature)on food security and health outcomes using time series data for the period from 1961-2015 for the 10 selected West African countries using panel econometric models with fixed effects. Food security was proxied by food production, cereal production and crop production indexes while health outcomes indicators used are life expectancy, under-five mortality and crude death rate. The results show that real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and population growth are important determinants of food security and health status of a nation in West Africa. Regarding climate variables, temperature has a negative and significant impact on food security whereas the impact of rainfall is significantly positive. The effects of temperature on health outcomes negative and significant while rainfall has an insignificant effect on health outcomes. As predicted by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), West African countries will face increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall patterns, which could impact negatively on food security, reduce life expectancy, and increase percentage of undernourished people as well as mortality rates. The results have important policy implications. Policies should aim to encourage adoption of modern agricultural techniques such as irrigation, increased use extension services and growing of drought resistant crops to mitigate against the harmful effects of climate change.

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