IJSSER

Title: AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC, HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS INFLUENCING INDIA’S IMPORT DEMAND FOR U.S. ALMONDS
Authors: Reshmi Ganguly
\|\| \|\|
Reshmi Ganguly Associate Professor, Lady Shri Ram College For Women,University of Delhi
MLA 8 Ganguly, Reshmi. "AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC, HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS INFLUENCING INDIA’S IMPORT DEMAND FOR U.S. ALMONDS." Int. j. of Social Science and Economic Research, vol. 7, no. 8, Aug. 2022, pp. 2661-2670, doi.org/10.46609/IJSSER.2022.v07i08.022. Accessed Aug. 2022. APA 6 Ganguly, R. (2022, August). AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC, HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS INFLUENCING INDIA’S IMPORT DEMAND FOR U.S. ALMONDS. Int. j. of Social Science and Economic Research, 7(8), 2661-2670. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.46609/IJSSER.2022.v07i08.022 Chicago Ganguly, Reshmi. "AN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC, HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS INFLUENCING INDIA’S IMPORT DEMAND FOR U.S. ALMONDS." Int. j. of Social Science and Economic Research 7, no. 8 (August 2022), 2661-2670. Accessed August, 2022. https://doi.org/10.46609/IJSSER.2022.v07i08.022.
References [1]. Ajibade Abraham & Sayed Saghaian. (2022). U.S. Almond Exports and Retaliatory Trade Tariffs. Sustainability, 14, 6409, https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116409. [2]. Bao Y, Han J, Hu FB, Giovannucci EL, Stampfer MJ, Willett WC, Fuchs CS. (2013). Association of nut consumption with total and cause-specific mortality. The New England Journal of Medicine, 369 (21), 2001-11. [3]. Boansi, D. (2014). Determinants of agricultural export trade: Case of fresh pineapple exports from Ghana. British Journal of Economics, Management and Trade, 4(11), 1736–1754. https://doi.org/10.9734/bjemt/2014/10773. [4]. Chiao-Ming Chen, Sing-Chung Li, Yen-Hua Liu, Jen-Fang Liu, Wen-Hsin Chang. (2011). Almond consumption improved glycaemic control and lipid profiles in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Metabolism-Clinical and Experimental, 60(4), 474-9. 10.1016/j.metabol.2010.04.009. [5]. Dr Mishra Sunil Kumar. (2020). World Diabetes Day: Why is India the World Capital for Diabetes? India Today. [6]. Gururaj, B., Satishkumar, M., & Kumar, M. K. A. (2016). Analysis of factors affecting the performance of exports in India. International Journal of Agriculture, Environment and Biotechnology, 9(4), 613– 616. https://doi.org/ 10.5958/2230-732x.2016.00079.6. [7]. International Diabetes Federation (IDF). (2021). Diabetes Atlas. 10th ed. Available from http://www.idf.org/diabetesatlas. [8]. Joe Janelle, Nidhi Aggarwal & Atul Gupta. (2019). California’s Drought and Almond Breeze. Case Studies in Business and Management, Vol. 6, No. 1. [9]. Kemal M. Ali & Usman Qadir. (2005). Real Exchange Rates, Exports and Imports Movements: A Trivariate Analysis. The Pakistan Development Review, Vol 44, No 4, 177-195. [10]. Lovejoy JC, Most MM, Lefevre M, Greenway FL, Rood JC. (2002). Effect of diets enriched in almonds on insulin action and serum lipids in adults with normal glucose tolerance or type 2 diabetes. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 76, 1000–1006. [11]. María Grau et al., (2016). Risk of Cause-Specific Death in Individuals with Diabetes: A Competing Risks Analysis. Diabetes Care Volume, 39(11), 1987-1995. [12]. Orden, D. (2002). Exchange rate effects on agricultural trade. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 34(2), 303–312. https:// doi.org/10.1017/S1074070800009056. [13]. Tan S Y & R D Mattes. (2013). Appetitive, dietary and health effects of almonds consumed with meals or as snacks: a randomized, controlled trial, European Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 67, 1205–1214. [14]. Waymouth, Belinda. (2017). “Climate change puts California’s snowpack in jeopardy in future droughts,” UCLA Newsroom, http://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/climate-change-puts-california-s- snowpack-under-the-weather. [15]. Wien Michelle , David Bleich, Maya Raghuwanshi, Susan Gould-Forgerite, Jacqueline Gomes, Lynn Monahan-Couch, Keiji Oda. (2010). Almond consumption and cardiovascular risk factors in adults with prediabetes. The Journal of American College of Nutrition, 29(3),189-97. [16]. WHO. (2021). Fact Sheet; https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/diabetes. [17]. Zhang, W-B. (2008). International trade theory- Capital, knowledge, economic, structure, money and prices over time. Berlin: Heidelberg, Springer. [18]. Zhao Zhan, Ping Di, Shu-Hua Chen, Jeremy Avise. (2020). Assessment of climate change impact over California using dynamical downscaling with a bias correction technique: method validation and analyses of summertime results. Climate Dynamics. 54, 3705–3728.
ABSTRACT: The purpose of this study was to estimate the impact of the major factors affecting the import demand for U.S. almonds in India. The primary objective was to explore how increase in diabetes in India and global warming in United Sates will impact this demand. Based on previous literature, a single-equation regression framework was specified for estimation of the almond model. The factors examined in this study were India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate, Real Exchange Rate of Rupees, mortality due to diabetes, Cashew nut production, annual average temperature of Los Angeles. The results showed that India’s GDP growth rate has positive influence to the import which means an increase in the purchasing power would increase the import of almonds. The Real Exchange Rate has positive effect on import which means that when the real exchange rate increases, the relative price of goods at home is higher and thus import increases. Diabetes mortality showed a positive influence implying Indians are becoming more aware about benefits of almonds consumption in decreasing diabetes. The estimation gave a positive relation between cashew nut production and the almonds demand with the cross elasticity more towards almond consumption. Impact of global warming proved to be very strong as 1o increase in average annual temperature resulted a decrease in almonds import. In fact, this decrease occurs at an increasing rate. The policy that can be suggested to the government is to provide support and encourage domestic producers to increase almond production in India.

IJSSER is Member of